Insights

May Economic Outlook: Adjusting the Course for Strong Economic Headwinds

https://www.keycitycapital.com/insights/may-economic-outlook-adjusting-the-course-for-strong-economic-headwinds/

Earlier this month, the Federal Reserve once again raised interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, marking 10th straight interest-rate hike since last March in what has been the most aggressive rate-hiking regime since the 1980s.

I know I’ve discussed these frequent rate hikes in previous updates—specifically how KeyCity’s investment philosophy is designed to help navigate these fluctuations—but since high interest rates seem to be the reality for at least the near future, I’d like to provide a specific example of one way our team is changing course to address this latest gust of economic headwinds.

Since the start of the new year, our team has increasingly been utilizing an assumable mortgage option when acquiring new properties for our portfolios. As Bankrate.com explains, “an assumable mortgage allows a buyer to assume the rate, repayment period, current principal balance and other terms of the seller’s existing mortgage rather than obtain a brand-new loan.”

There is one big pro to this approach—the ability to secure a lower interest rate than we could based on the current rate from the Fed. And it’s one that many other private equity investors are currently exploring. According to an article from WealthManagement.com, “loan assumptions appeal to investors because fixed-rate debt that was secured in prior years is very attractive compared to today’s higher rate environment. If the loan originated prior to June 2022, the rate on an assumable should be far more favorable than the rate a borrower can currently obtain.”

On the other hand, it’s not an approach we can or would want to use for every deal. While the lower interest rate is nice, it’s important to consider that this type of financing is not always the best option—or even available. And when it is, the assumable loan option does require us to come to the table with a great deal more upfront cash in hand than we would for a more traditional financing option. Because of that, it’s important to consider how making that larger upfront, cash purchase will impact our investors—and do all we can to ensure we practice fiscal responsibility on their behalf.

The myriad complexities and considerations that come with private equity financing are often onerous—regardless of the country’s current financial situation. The economic landscape can change frequently and without warning. This is just one of the many reasons KeyCity Capital is built on a foundation knowledgeable, in-house management and a vertically integrated team that has both the financial acumen and experience that allow them to confidently assess ever-changing economic climates and adjust our acquisition strategies accordingly.

If you’re interested in learning more, I’d encourage you to set up a call to speak with us today. 

 

INSIGHTS

Is Higher for Longer Almost Over?

Blog Posts

Is Higher for Longer Almost Over?

August 15, 2024

It’s been almost a year since the last increase in interest rate by the Fed. Inflation was moving at an unsustainable pace and the labor market was red hot. By all standards, the economy was...

Inflation Increases May Stall Interest Rate Cuts

Blog Posts

Inflation Increases May Stall Interest Rate Cuts

February 21, 2024

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in slightly above previous projections causing significant stock selloffs. The Labor Department reported that January inflation rose 3.1% year-over-year versus 3.4% in December. Despite the pace of inflation slowing,...

Build To Rent Communities: The New Normal

Blog Posts

Build To Rent Communities: The New Normal

January 17, 2024

The Wall Street Journal recently posted an article titled, “The Rise of the Forever Renter.” The catchy-titled article goes on to discuss the current statistics for the renter population in the United States, focusing on...

Are you ready to learn more about investment opportunities that have the potential to create long-term value?

White connecting graphic using KeyCity's logo with dashes and two end points to the right and left.

Set up a meeting with a member of the KeyCity Capital team to get started.

**Disclaimer FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS ONLY WRITTEN PROOF OF ACCREDITED INVESTOR STATUS MUST BE PROVIDED An accredited investor, in the context of a natural person, includes anyone who: • earned income that exceeded $200,000 (or $300,000 together with a spouse or spousal equivalent) in each of the prior two years, and reasonably expects the same for the current year, • has a net worth over $1 million, either alone or together with a spouse or spousal equivalent (excluding the value of the person’s primary residence), OR • holds in good standing a series 7, 65 or 82 license with a registered broker dealer. On the income test, the person must satisfy the thresholds for the three years consistently either alone or with a spouse or spousal equivalent, and cannot, for example, satisfy one year based on individual income and the next two years based on joint income with a spouse or spousal equivalent. The only exception is if a person is married within this period, in which case the person may satisfy the threshold on the basis of joint income for the years during which the person was married and on the basis of individual income for the other years. In addition, entities such as banks, partnerships, corporations, limited liability companies and nonprofits must satisfy their own accredited investor criteria. Of the entities that would be considered accredited investors and depending on your circumstances, the following may be relevant to you: • any trust, with total assets in excess of $5 million, not formed specifically to purchase the subject securities, whose purchase is directed by a “sophisticated person.” In this context, a “sophisticated person” means the person must have, or the company or private fund offering the securities reasonably believes that this person has, sufficient knowledge and experience in financial and business matters to evaluate the merits and risks of the prospective investment. • Any entity in which all of the equity owners are accredited investors. Source: Investor.gov